Quality of earnings, 13-week cash, covenant runway, working-capital unlock and the value levers behind the PE thesis.
Liquidity of $48M (≈ 84 weeks of cover) and $495M of deal capacity make capital the lever, not the constraint. Free the trapped cash first: normalizing DSO to 48d releases ≈ $-15.9M and clears $0.6M of overdue receivables.
8 of 8 headline metrics improving vs prior · still off target: Revenue ₹242Cr vs ₹260Cr, EBITDA ₹93Cr vs ₹100Cr, EBITDA Margin 38.5% vs 40.0%
Move to credit hold pending paydown; reforecast ARR net of likely churn.
Distress filings + overdue AR; churn risk High on $6.4M account.
Sets deal capacity and refinancing risk.
Closing the DSO gap releases ≈ $-15.9M of one-time cash; $0.6M is already >60 days overdue and at collection risk.
Targeted collections sprint on $0.9M; tighten milestone billing on ISC projects.
ISC (67d), CA Real Estate Advisory (66d), Chaudhary Family account (67d) lifting blended DSO.
$90.16M of add-backs (97% of adj.) — the diligence-grade walk.
Organic vs. acquisitive vs. price/mix vs. cost.
Net weekly cash (bars) and ending cash (line) vs. $20M minimum. Forecast trough: $0.88M.
Net Debt/EBITDA deleveraging path against the 5.5x covenant ceiling.
Normalizing lagging units to a 50-day DSO releases ~$0.3M of one-time cash.
Concentrated in newer cohorts (Gurgaon Tech Park, CA Real Estate Advisory, Arora PMS-2024) where billing discipline lags integration — the fastest cash win this fiscal year.
Annuity growth and where EBITDA is generated.
Total AR $4M
Overdue (>60d) = $0.6M at collection risk.
Accounts ranked by DSO and credit/churn risk.
| Account | Revenue | DSO | NRR | Credit/Churn |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaudhary Family | $0.2M | 67d | 97% | High |
| Sharma Group | $0.4M | 63d | 104% | Medium |
| Singh Business Ventures | $0.13M | 59d | 100% | Medium |
| Arora Family Office | $0.44M | 58d | 112% | Low |
| Bajaj Institutional Fund | $0.22M | 55d | 105% | Medium |
| IBM | $0.3M | 52d | 101% | Medium |
| UPS | $0.35M | 49d | 106% | Low |
| Sinha & Co. | $0.57M | 47d | 108% | Low |
| Gupta Enterprises | $0.5M | 44d | 119% | Low |
| Kumar & Sons | $0.18M | 41d | 110% | Low |
EBITDA uplift, DSO normalization and synergy realization (as-acquired → current).
| Brand (cohort) | Acq. | Revenue | EBITDA % | DSO | Integration | Synergy | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gurgaon Tech Park | 2021 | $1.05M | 0.28→0.43% | 71→58d | 100% | 92% | Integrated |
| MCEF-Alpha | 2021 | $0.68M | 0.25→0.4% | 66→54d | 100% | 90% | Integrated |
| Arora PMS-2024 | 2022 | $2.96M | 0.34→0.49% | 68→56d | 95% | 88% | Integrated |
| Client Associates Multi-Family Office | 2023 | $1.79M | 0.31→0.4% | 70→61d | 82% | 74% | In progress |
| CA Investment Banking | 2024 | $1.26M | 0.28→0.34% | 73→67d | 60% | 55% | In progress |
| Miles PMS | 2024 | $1.14M | 0.28→0.37% | 71→60d | 80% | 78% | In progress |
| CA Real Estate Advisory | 2024 | $0.89M | 0.25→0.28% | 69→66d | 45% | 40% | Early |
Partner spend, DPO (working-capital lever), delivery and risk.
| Supplier | Category | Spend | DPO | OTIF | Score | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HDFC Bank | Video Surveillance | $1.97M | 45d | 96% | 91 | Low |
| ICICI Bank | Fire & Access | $1.79M | 42d | 93% | 88 | Low |
| CAMS Fund Admin | Critical Comms | $1.26M | 38d | 90% | 85 | Medium |
| Salesforce CRM | Video Surveillance | $0.83M | 36d | 89% | 83 | Medium |
| Miles PMS | Video VMS | $0.71M | 40d | 95% | 87 | Low |
| Compliance Engine | AV / Collaboration | $0.59M | 44d | 92% | 86 | Low |