Quality of earnings, 13-week cash, covenant runway, working-capital unlock and the value levers behind the PE thesis.
Liquidity of $900M (≈ 4 weeks of cover) and $1092M of deal capacity make capital the lever, not the constraint. Free the trapped cash first: normalizing DSO to 48d releases ≈ $379.7M and clears $240.9M of overdue receivables.
7 of 8 headline metrics improving vs prior · still off target: Revenue $9.90B vs $10.50B, EBITDA $420M vs $600M, EBITDA Margin 4.2% vs 6.0%
Move to credit hold pending paydown; reforecast ARR net of likely churn.
Distress filings + overdue AR; churn risk High on $6.4M account.
Sets deal capacity and refinancing risk.
Closing the DSO gap releases ≈ $379.7M of one-time cash; $240.9M is already >60 days overdue and at collection risk.
Targeted collections sprint on $0.9M; tighten milestone billing on ISC projects.
ISC (67d), Siemens Gamesa France (66d), SSE Renewables account (67d) lifting blended DSO.
$-740.25M of add-backs (-176% of adj.) — the diligence-grade walk.
Organic vs. acquisitive vs. price/mix vs. cost.
Net weekly cash (bars) and ending cash (line) vs. $20M minimum. Forecast trough: $361.95M.
Net Debt/EBITDA deleveraging path against the 5.5x covenant ceiling.
Normalizing lagging units to a 50-day DSO releases ~$107.3M of one-time cash.
Concentrated in newer cohorts (Hermes Digital Diagnostics, Siemens Gamesa France, SG 14-222 DD) where billing discipline lags integration — the fastest cash win this fiscal year.
Annuity growth and where EBITDA is generated.
Total AR $1464M
Overdue (>60d) = $240.9M at collection risk.
Accounts ranked by DSO and credit/churn risk.
| Account | Revenue | DSO | NRR | Credit/Churn |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSE Renewables | $80.71M | 67d | 97% | High |
| Enel Green Power | $162.69M | 63d | 104% | Medium |
| Western Sahara wind project | $51.71M | 59d | 100% | Medium |
| EDF Renewables | $179.08M | 58d | 112% | Low |
| Moroccan wind farm operator | $90.8M | 55d | 105% | Medium |
| IBM | $122.33M | 52d | 101% | Medium |
| UPS | $142.51M | 49d | 106% | Low |
| Ørsted | $234.57M | 47d | 108% | Low |
| Iberdrola | $203.04M | 44d | 119% | Low |
| Finnish wind farm developer | $73.15M | 41d | 110% | Low |
EBITDA uplift, DSO normalization and synergy realization (as-acquired → current).
| Brand (cohort) | Acq. | Revenue | EBITDA % | DSO | Integration | Synergy | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hermes Digital Diagnostics | 2021 | $428.79M | 113.5→176.56% | 71→58d | 100% | 92% | Integrated |
| RecyclableBlade | 2021 | $277.45M | 100.89→163.95% | 66→54d | 100% | 90% | Integrated |
| SG 14-222 DD | 2022 | $1210.7M | 138.73→201.78% | 68→56d | 95% | 88% | Integrated |
| SGRE Battery Solution | 2023 | $731.46M | 126.11→163.95% | 70→61d | 82% | 74% | In progress |
| Digital Ventures Labs | 2024 | $517.07M | 113.5→138.73% | 73→67d | 60% | 55% | In progress |
| Siemens Gamesa India | 2024 | $466.62M | 113.5→151.34% | 71→60d | 80% | 78% | In progress |
| Siemens Gamesa France | 2024 | $365.73M | 100.89→113.5% | 69→66d | 45% | 40% | Early |
Partner spend, DPO (working-capital lever), delivery and risk.
| Supplier | Category | Spend | DPO | OTIF | Score | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Azure | Video Surveillance | $807.13M | 45d | 96% | 91 | Low |
| IBM Consulting | Fire & Access | $731.46M | 42d | 93% | 88 | Low |
| ReStor | Critical Comms | $517.07M | 38d | 90% | 85 | Medium |
| Gefion Supercomputer | Video Surveillance | $340.51M | 36d | 89% | 83 | Medium |
| Tier One PV module suppliers | Video VMS | $290.06M | 40d | 95% | 87 | Low |
| Siemens Financial Services | AV / Collaboration | $239.62M | 44d | 92% | 86 | Low |