Quality of earnings, 13-week cash, covenant runway, working-capital unlock and the value levers behind the PE thesis.
Liquidity of $1600M (≈ 94 weeks of cover) and $-444M of deal capacity make capital the lever, not the constraint. Free the trapped cash first: normalizing DSO to 48d releases ≈ $-493.2M and clears $17.6M of overdue receivables.
8 of 8 headline metrics improving vs prior · still off target: Revenue $6.00B vs $7.50B, EBITDA $1.48B vs $1.70B, Liquidity Buffer $1.60B vs $1.80B
Move to credit hold pending paydown; reforecast ARR net of likely churn.
Distress filings + overdue AR; churn risk High on $6.4M account.
Sets deal capacity and refinancing risk.
Closing the DSO gap releases ≈ $-493.2M of one-time cash; $17.6M is already >60 days overdue and at collection risk.
Targeted collections sprint on $0.9M; tighten milestone billing on ISC projects.
ISC (67d), Risk Analytics Suite (66d), Retail Home Buyers (Gomti Nagar) account (67d) lifting blended DSO.
$1395.44M of add-backs (94% of adj.) — the diligence-grade walk.
Organic vs. acquisitive vs. price/mix vs. cost.
Net weekly cash (bars) and ending cash (line) vs. $20M minimum. Forecast trough: $26.38M.
Net Debt/EBITDA deleveraging path against the 5.5x covenant ceiling.
Normalizing laggard brands to a 50-day DSO releases ~$7.8M of one-time cash.
Concentrated in newer cohorts (ISC, Signet, RFI) where billing discipline lags integration — the fastest cash win this fiscal year.
Annuity growth and where EBITDA is generated.
Total AR $107M
Overdue (>60d) = $17.6M at collection risk.
Accounts ranked by DSO and credit/churn risk.
| Account | Revenue | DSO | NRR | Credit/Churn |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail Home Buyers (Gomti Nagar) | $5.88M | 67d | 97% | High |
| M. Gupta | $11.86M | 63d | 104% | Medium |
| Merchant Partners via BharatPe | $3.77M | 59d | 100% | Medium |
| S. Kumar | $13.05M | 58d | 112% | Low |
| Developers (Construction Finance) | $6.62M | 55d | 105% | Medium |
| IBM | $8.92M | 52d | 101% | Medium |
| UPS | $10.39M | 49d | 106% | Low |
| A. Sharma | $17.1M | 47d | 108% | Low |
| Lucknow Collections Team | $14.8M | 44d | 119% | Low |
| SME Owners (Jaipur) | $5.33M | 41d | 110% | Low |
EBITDA uplift, DSO normalization and synergy realization (as-acquired → current).
| Brand (cohort) | Acq. | Revenue | EBITDA % | DSO | Integration | Synergy | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAP by ABHFL | 2021 | $31.25M | 8.27→12.87% | 71→58d | 100% | 92% | Integrated |
| ABHFL Construction Finance | 2021 | $20.22M | 7.35→11.95% | 66→54d | 100% | 90% | Integrated |
| Aditya Birla Home Loans | 2022 | $88.23M | 10.11→14.71% | 68→56d | 95% | 88% | Integrated |
| Lease Rental Discounting | 2023 | $53.31M | 9.19→11.95% | 70→61d | 82% | 74% | In progress |
| PMAY 2.0 Support | 2024 | $37.68M | 8.27→10.11% | 73→67d | 60% | 55% | In progress |
| Digital Loan Origination | 2024 | $34.01M | 8.27→11.03% | 71→60d | 80% | 78% | In progress |
| Risk Analytics Suite | 2024 | $26.65M | 7.35→8.27% | 69→66d | 45% | 40% | Early |
Partner spend, DPO (working-capital lever), delivery and risk.
| Supplier | Category | Spend | DPO | OTIF | Score | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ValuEdge | Video Surveillance | $58.82M | 45d | 96% | 91 | Low |
| BharatPe | Fire & Access | $53.31M | 42d | 93% | 88 | Low |
| Vendor Audit Team | Critical Comms | $37.68M | 38d | 90% | 85 | Medium |
| National Housing Bank | Video Surveillance | $24.82M | 36d | 89% | 83 | Medium |
| Vendor Management | Video VMS | $21.14M | 40d | 95% | 87 | Low |
| Collections CRM | AV / Collaboration | $17.46M | 44d | 92% | 86 | Low |