PGrasim Industries LimitedExecutive Cockpit

CFO — Finance, Cash & Capital

Quality of earnings, 13-week cash, covenant runway, working-capital unlock and the value levers behind the PE thesis.

Grasim Industries Limited · FY26 (modeled)
India's #1 VSF producer, Top 3 cement
24,000 employees · 0+ US sites · 51 countries
Executive read· the answer, then the moves

Liquidity of $18500M (≈ 37 weeks of cover) and $122170M of deal capacity make capital the lever, not the constraint. Free the trapped cash first: normalizing DSO to 48d releases ≈ $6774.1M and clears $517.0M of overdue receivables.

6 of 8 headline metrics improving vs prior · still off target: EBITDA $32.15B vs $34.00B, EBITDA Margin 18.2% vs 19.0%, Liquidity $18.50B vs $20.00B

Do now — ranked by urgency
  1. 1
    Birla Estates credit exposureAct now
    Why it matters

    Move to credit hold pending paydown; reforecast ARR net of likely churn.

    What's driving it
    • Overdue AR
    • Signal: Alert
    FYI

    Distress filings + overdue AR; churn risk High on $6.4M account.

  2. 2
    Covenant headroom 0.9× (lev 4.6× vs 5.5×)Act now
    Why it matters

    Sets deal capacity and refinancing risk.

    What's driving it
    • Q1 (act)
    • Signal: Threshold
    FYI
    • Net-debt/EBITDA 4.6× against a 5.5× ceiling.
    • Owner: CFO · Treasury
  3. 3
    Pull working capital — drive DSO 62→48dWatch
    Why it matters

    Closing the DSO gap releases ≈ $6774.1M of one-time cash; $517.0M is already >60 days overdue and at collection risk.

    What's driving it
    • DSO 62d vs 48d target
    • Overdue (>60d) $517.0M of $3143M AR
    FYI
    • Brand-level unlock to a 50d stretch ≈ $230.3M
    • Owner: Treasury
  4. 4
    3 brands running DSO > 65 daysWatch
    Why it matters

    Targeted collections sprint on $0.9M; tighten milestone billing on ISC projects.

    What's driving it
    • DSO
    • Signal: Alert
    FYI

    ISC (67d), Birla Cellulose (66d), Birla Estates account (67d) lifting blended DSO.

Adjusted EBITDA
$32150M
+26% YoY · 18.2% margin
Liquidity
$18500M
≈ 37 weeks of disbursements
M&A deal capacity
$122170M
≈ $12217M EBITDA @ ~10x to 5.5x
Working-capital unlock
$6774.1M
DSO 62→48d target
Quality of earnings

Reported → Adjusted EBITDA

$29659.55M of add-backs (92% of adj.) — the diligence-grade walk.

Driver bridge

EBITDA — prior to current year

Organic vs. acquisitive vs. price/mix vs. cost.

Treasury

13-week direct cash flow forecast

Above minimum

Net weekly cash (bars) and ending cash (line) vs. $20M minimum. Forecast trough: $776.91M.

$920.38M
Opening cash
$6594M
13-wk collections
$6510M
13-wk disbursements
$1004.3M
Closing cash
Capital structure

Leverage runway vs. covenant

Net Debt/EBITDA deleveraging path against the 5.5x covenant ceiling.

Headroom = firepower

Deal capacity

Net-debt capacity to 5.5x
$122170M
≈ $12217M acquirable EBITDA @ ~10x
Net Debt/EBITDA1.7x
Covenant Headroom22.0x
Debt Service Coverage Ratio2.4x
Free Cash Flow$8.70B
Where the cash is trapped

Working-capital cash unlock

$230.3M opportunity

Normalizing laggard brands to a 50-day DSO releases ~$230.3M of one-time cash.

Livaeco67d
$51.7M
Birla Pivot61d
$47.3M
UltraTech Cement56d
$42.7M
Birla Cellulose66d
$34.4M
Aditya Birla Renewables60d
$27.4M
Birla Opus58d
$20.2M
Aditya Birla Capital54d
$6.5M

Concentrated in newer cohorts (ISC, Signet, RFI) where billing discipline lags integration — the fastest cash win this fiscal year.

Revenue quality

Recurring engine & margin

Annuity growth and where EBITDA is generated.

Annual Recurring Revenue
$2.10B
▲ 16.7% vs priorTarget $2.30B
Recurring Revenue Mix
12.1%
▲ 5.2% vs priorTarget 13.0%
Net Revenue Retention
105.0%
▲ 1.0% vs priorTarget 106.0%
Gross Revenue Retention
97.0%
▲ 1.0% vs priorTarget 98.0%
Annuity engine

ARR bridge

Trend

ARR growth

By business unit

EBITDA margin

Collections

AR aging

Total AR $3143M

Current days$1475.32M
1-30 days$785.03M
31-60 days$365.45M
61-90 days$265.29M
90+ days$251.75M

Overdue (>60d) = $517.0M at collection risk.

By account

Receivables & credit watch

Accounts ranked by DSO and credit/churn risk.

AccountRevenueDSONRRCredit/Churn
Birla Estates$173.25M67d97%High
Shree Traders$349.2M63d104%Medium
Godrej Properties$110.99M59d100%Medium
Reliance$384.39M58d112%Low
Welspun$194.9M55d105%Medium
IBM$262.58M52d101%Medium
UPS$305.89M49d106%Low
Raymond$503.5M47d108%Low
DLF$435.83M44d119%Low
Trident Group$157.01M41d110%Low
M&A

Acquisition cohort economics

EBITDA uplift, DSO normalization and synergy realization (as-acquired → current).

Brand (cohort)Acq.RevenueEBITDA %DSOIntegrationSynergyStatus
Birla Opus2021$920.38M243.63378.98%7158d100%92%Integrated
Aditya Birla Capital2021$595.54M216.56351.91%6654d100%90%Integrated
UltraTech Cement2022$2598.73M297.77433.12%6856d95%88%Integrated
Birla Pivot2023$1570.06M270.7351.91%7061d82%74%In progress
Livaeco2024$1109.87M243.63297.77%7367d60%55%In progress
Aditya Birla Renewables2024$1001.59M243.63324.84%7160d80%78%In progress
Birla Cellulose2024$785.03M216.56243.63%6966d45%40%Early
Supply

Supplier terms & risk

Partner spend, DPO (working-capital lever), delivery and risk.

SupplierCategorySpendDPOOTIFScoreRisk
SuryachemVideo Surveillance$1732.48M45d96%91Low
DCW LtdFire & Access$1570.06M42d93%88Low
GACLCritical Comms$1109.87M38d90%85Medium
HindalcoVideo Surveillance$730.89M36d89%83Medium
Tata ChemicalsVideo VMS$622.61M40d95%87Low
India GlycolsAV / Collaboration$514.33M44d92%86Low